Viện Nghiên cứu Chính sách và Chiến lược

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Processing industry remains a key engine for export (19/7)

19/07/2013 - 18 Lượt xem

According to MOIT’s statistics, Vietnam’s total export turnover in the first half of 2013 was estimated at US$62 billion, a year on year increase of 16.1 percent, equivalent to 49 percent of the year’s plan.
In terms of commodity groups, export turnover of agricultural, forestry and aquaculture commodities; fuels and minerals during this period were estimated to reach US$9.7 billion and over US$5 billion, accounting for 16 percent and eight percent of total export turnover respectively.
Chinh pointed out that the despite an increase in output, declining export turnover of these two sectors was due to a 15 to 25 percent decline in export prices since early this year.
Meanwhile, export turnover of the processing industry increased by 27.2 percent compared to the same period last year to reach US$42.7 billion. This industry continued to be a key engine for the country’s export growth, with strong growth of the foreign-invested sector producing mobile phones and accessories, computers, electronic products and parts (contributing US$6.3 billion in US$8.6 billion of added export value year on year). The export of this commodity group is expected to post further export growth from now to the year’s end.
Other items with export revenues occupying large proportions in total export such as textile and garment and footwear also enjoyed high growth rates year on year, with 17 percent and 16 percent respectively. Le Tien Truong, the Deputy Director of the Vietnam National Textile and Garment Group (Vinatex) said with its orders from now to the end of 2013, Vinatex could earn revenue of US$20 billion instead of the expected figure of US$19.5 billion early this year.
According to the common rule, export growth in the second half of a year is from 15 - 20 percent higher than = the first half. Therefore\ the goal to earn export revenue of US$126.1 billion this year is achievable, with even US$127 - US$128 possible. However, Chinh said that in the first half of this year, monthly average export revenue was about US$10.33 billion. Therefore, to realize the set target, the monthly average export revenue in the second half of this year must reach US$11 billion per month, 700 million higher than the average figure of the first half of 2013. The target would only be achievable when the enterprises make great efforts and the export prices remain at their current levels.
MOIT’s statistics also showed that Vietnam’s import revenue during this six-month period was worth USD63.46 billion, resulting in an estimated trade deficit of US$1.4 billion, equal to 2.3% of its export revenues. It is forecast that imports will continue to increase in the coming months, import revenue for the whole year will reach US$136 billion and Vietnam’s 2013 trade deficit will reach US$9 billion, equivalent to seven percent of the country’s total export revenue and lower than the eight percent estimated by the National Assembly and government./.

Source: VEN.